iPhone 16 sales are not as big as previous years — here’s why

iPhone 16 Pro Max shown in hand
(Image credit: Tom's Guide)

iPhone 16 sales are strong (it's a new iPhone after all), but are still somehow slower than expected, according to a message to investors from Morgan Stanley (seen by AppleInsider).

It's claimed that Apple shipped 37 million iPhone 16 series units over its first weekend. Most of those were the iPhone 16 Pro Max, but the iPhone 16 and iPhone 16 Plus saw considerable growth over previous years. However, despite these impressive statistics, these numbers represent lower demand than for previous iPhones.

Answering YOUR iPhone 16 and 16 Pro Questions! - YouTube Answering YOUR iPhone 16 and 16 Pro Questions! - YouTube
Watch On

Morgan Stanley illustrates this with the wait time you'd face for an iPhone 16 model if you decided to buy one today. According to its findings, the longest wait for an iPhone 16 is 25.5 days — for a Pro Max. That's long for sure, but compare that to the 43.5 days that users were waiting for the equivalent iPhone 15 Pro Max last year and it's a big difference.

A table0 showing the initial lead times for iPhone models going from iPhone XS to iPhone 16

(Image credit: AppleInsider/Morgan Stanley)

Comparing this with other iPhone launches, the iPhone 16 models apparently have the shortest lead time since the iPhone 12 launch back in 2020. As a result, Morgan Stanley predicts Apple may reduce its iPhone 16 orders to compensate, but admits things are still developing so this prediction is only tentative.

Why the slow sales?

The relative lower demand for iPhone 16 could indicate that Apple's judged this year's demand better than previous ones, and can therefore send out units more quickly. Or perhaps that people aren't buying iPhones with the same enthusiasm as they once were.

A slow start to the iPhone 16 series' sales makes sense considering some of the iPhone 16's biggest features have not arrived with the phones' launch. All Apple Intelligence features remain in beta, including the iPhone 16-exclusive Visual Intelligence ability, and the Camera Control's two-stage shutter and full Siri 2.0 upgrade won't be ready either. Perhaps once these arrive on the iPhone 16, we'll start to see upgrade interest increase.

The iPhone 16's been official for less than a month, and has only been on sale for a week, so any declarations of its failure or success would be premature to say the least. But something different has happened in this launch window compared to previous years, and no doubt in future, we'll be pointing to fall 2024 as a pivotal year in the iPhone's fortunes.

If you want to know more about the latest iPhones and what we make of them, have a read of our iPhone 16, iPhone 16 Plus, iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max reviews.

More from Tom's Guide

TOPICS
Richard Priday
Assistant Phones Editor

Richard is based in London, covering news, reviews and how-tos for phones, tablets, gaming, and whatever else people need advice on. Following on from his MA in Magazine Journalism at the University of Sheffield, he's also written for WIRED U.K., The Register and Creative Bloq. When not at work, he's likely thinking about how to brew the perfect cup of specialty coffee.

Read more
Apple Intelligence logo on iPhone
Apple says the iPhone 16 is selling well and Apple Intelligence is a big reason why
iPhone SE 4 render
iPhone SE 4 just tipped for record-breaking sales ahead of launch next week
iPhone 17 Air render
iPhone 17 Air — new survey could be bad news for Apple's super thin iPhone
Iphone 17 pro max render next to iPhone 16 Pro Max being held in hand
iPhone 17 Pro Max vs. iPhone 16 Pro Max: Biggest expected upgrades
iPhone 17 Air render
iPhone 17 Air screen size and specs leak — here's what you need to know
Iphone 17 pro max render next to iPhone 16 Pro Max being held in hand
iPhone 17 Pro vs iPhone 16 Pro: 5 biggest expected upgrades
Latest in iPhones
iPhone 17 Air render
iPhone 17 Air — new survey could be bad news for Apple's super thin iPhone
Render of the alleged design of the iPhone 17 Pro
New iPhone 17 Pro dummy leak highlights redesigned camera and part glass body
Siri in iOS 18 on iPhone
Users complain that Siri can’t answer even the most basic questions — here’s what we know
iPhone 16 next to samsung galaxy watch 7 and bose wireless earbuds on a composite image
Apple's walled garden is crumbling — EU orders iOS to open up to third-party devices
Apple iPhone 16 & 16 Plus hands-on.
Forget USB-C — a truly portless iPhone just got the all-clear from the EU
iPhone Flip render
iPhone Flip could solve one of the biggest problems with foldable phones — here's how
Latest in News
Rendered images of rumored foldable iPhone.
Foldable iPhone report just revealed key details — here's what we know
NYTimes Connections
NYT Connections today hints and answers — Saturday, March 23 (#651)
NYT Strands on a cellphone
NYT Strands today — hints, spangram and answers for game #385 (Sunday, March 23 2025)
Nintendo Switch 2
Nintendo Switch 2 rumored specs — here’s what we know so far
iPhone 17 Pro render
iPhone 17 Pro — 7 biggest rumored upgrades
CAD renderings of the Google Pixel 10 Pro XL
Pixel 10 leak could be good news for all Android phones